A quantitative intraday strategy on BTC, ETH, BNB, SOL and XRP — based on the 3rd law of thermodynamics. Entropy extrema detect high-probability market turning points, combined with dynamic CCI filtering and cycle validation before any trade is executed.
Key Metrics
As of August 31, 2026 · Net of fees · Base 100 at inception (October 12, 2024)
Returns
Annual and monthly breakdown — 2026 year-to-date through August 31
| Metric | Since Inception | Last 12 Months |
|---|---|---|
| Total Net Return | +67.49% | +44.55% |
| Annual Return (Arithmetic, 365 Days) | +35.75% | +44.55% |
| Annualised Volatility | 18.02% | 18.45% |
| Sharpe Ratio | 1.98 | 2.44 |
| Sortino Ratio | 4.14 | — |
| Calmar Ratio | 3.25 | 4.09 |
| % Positive Months | 73.91% (17/23) | — |
| Latest NAV (Base 100) | 167.49 | — |
| Strategy Inception | October 12, 2024 | — |
| Report Date | August 31, 2026 | — |
Trading Universe
Medium turnover (~5 cycles/day per asset) — positions held 0.5h to 6h — loss per trade capped at 10 bps + slippage
Strategy Blueprint
Six-step process from signal generation to execution — based on the 3rd law of thermodynamics (Entropy Extremum)
Market Intelligence
As of August 31, 2026 · 0 = Maximum Calm (fully ordered) · 1 = Maximum Stress (maximum disorder)
In thermodynamics, entropy extrema mark transitions between states. Applied to financial markets: when informational entropy reaches a local minimum, the market distribution is becoming unnaturally ordered — a directional trend is consuming its own energy and a reversal becomes statistically probable. When entropy reaches a local maximum, disorder peaks and the prevailing trend loses its structural coherence.
These entropy extrema are calculated on 30-minute windows, then refined tick-by-tick. Combined with dynamic CCI readings, the system identifies only the highest-conviction turning points — and still requires the market to confirm direction before any capital is deployed. In this Plus variant, the global market Entropia Score further modulates each trade's allocation: high cross-asset entropy (calm) amplifies exposure while stress episodes automatically reduce it.
Research
The thermodynamic and information-theoretic basis of entropy-driven intraday trading
Shannon (1948) formalised entropy as a measure of informational complexity. The strategy directly applies this to price-return distributions:
The strategy operates within a three-layer risk framework that bounds losses before any execution decision is made:
| Dimension | Traditional Crypto Strategies | EntropiaTech Entropy Engine |
|---|---|---|
| Signal basis | Price patterns, momentum, RSI | Entropy extrema (thermodynamic) |
| Confirmation | Single indicator or none | Dynamic CCI + entropy oscillator |
| Trade validation | Threshold-based entry | Market-confirmed cycle (dual-layer) |
| Max loss per trade | Variable / discretionary | Fixed 10 bps + slippage |
| Profit target | Fixed pip / R-multiple | Dynamic non-linear variance model |
| Overnight risk | Often present | Zero — max 6h position duration |
| Reporting | Daily or T+1 | Real-time JSON + email per cycle |